刘诚;钟春平;郑国楠;

• 1:中国社会科学院财经战略研究院
• 2:国家发展和改革委员会国土开发与地区经济研究所

摘要(Abstract)：

文章以新冠肺炎疫情作为准自然实验,检验了中国286个地级及以上城市的政务信息化水平对疫情防控的作用,并利用2019年12月的携程客房预订履约率,检验了社会信用的交互作用。研究发现,政务信息化能够提高疫情防控的公共政策效率,政务信息化对疫情防控的作用在一定程度上依赖于当地的社会信用水平,社区层面的人口信息登记在疫情防控中起到了突出作用。使用各城市邮政局数量和电信收入作为政务信息化的工具变量、以腾讯公司编制的数字指数作为替代变量以及控制市委书记个人特征、公共部门人数和城市等级之后,基本结论保持稳健。文章的研究为提高政府治理能力和改进常态化防控效率提供了一定的启示。

关键词(KeyWords)： 新冠肺炎疫情;政务信息化;公共政策;社会信用;社区

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 教育部重大专项课题“党的创新理论引领贯穿理论经济学知识体系研究”(19JZDZ002)

作者(Author): 刘诚;钟春平;郑国楠;

Email:

DOI: 10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.20200617.101

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• (1)与2003年非典疫情一样，新冠肺炎疫情并不是靠发现病毒和研制疫苗控制住的，而依靠的是传统的检疫、隔离、消毒、通风、个人防护等卫生措施。这两次疫情至今也没有有效的治疗办法，疫苗仍在研制过程中。
• (1)为了避免回归系数过大，patient2的单位为百人。
• (1)我们委托某小型科技公司通过爬虫技术获取数据，仅用于学术研究，不涉及酒店的名称、客房数量、入住率、价格等商业信息，也不涉及预订者的身份、性别、年龄等个人隐私数据。
• (2)之所以使用2019年12月的数据，是因为此时疫情还未公开，尚未对人们的出行产生影响。这一数据能够比较客观地反映其他城市与武汉的联系程度，而且此时的流动人口已具有携带病毒的潜在风险，他们返回所在城市后会对当地造成疫情防控压力。