技术溢出视角下技术进步对能源消费的回弹效应研究——基于空间面板数据模型On the Rebound Effect of Energy Consumption on Technology Progress from the Perspective of Technology Spillover: Based on Spatial Panel Data Model
冯烽;叶阿忠;
摘要(Abstract)：
针对现有文献测算回弹效应普遍忽略技术溢出效应的缺憾,文章构建了三要素经济增长的空间误差模型,在此基础上给出了回弹效应的估算方法,并利用1995-2010年省际面板数据对我国技术溢出视角下技术进步对能源消费的回弹效应进行了实证分析。结果表明,技术进步所导致的能源回弹效应显著存在,中、西部的平均回弹效应明显高于东部,全国的平均回弹效应呈现上升趋势。因此,政府在制定能源政策时需要注意降低单位GDP能耗可能出现的回弹效应,把提高能源效率与自主创新、产业结构调整、政府宏观调控等手段结合起来以实现既定的节能目标。
关键词(KeyWords)： 技术进步;能源消费;回弹效应;空间误差模型
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(71171057);; 国家社会科学基金项目(12CJY011);; 教育部高等学校博士点基金项目(20103514110009);; 教育部人文社会科学基金项目(10YJA790227)
作者(Author): 冯烽;叶阿忠;
Email:
DOI: 10.16538/j.cnki.jfe.2012.09.002
参考文献(References)：
- ①GDP以1980年的可比价格计算,能源效率与能源消费总量数据来自《中国能源统计年鉴(2011)》。
- ⑦这里的产业结构比重数据来自《中国统计年鉴(2011)》。
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